PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

johndoez

0x6f87226f46d8511fb169fdba58589e8184d9f277

Realised P&L
$129.8k
Volume
$2.04M
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$107.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.7500.955$37.2k+$8.0k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.915$22.9k+$1.2k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6950.635$12.7k$1.2k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8310.935$11.2k+$1.3k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8160.962$6.7k+$1.0k
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8160.885$4.4k+$342.83
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4960.655$3.2k+$775.58
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.957$2.9k+$1.0k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9300.946$1.9k+$31.19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.745$1.5k$70.00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.015$1.4k$3.5k
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.5350.760$760.02+$224.51
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.015$505.53$1.3k
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$730.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.4180.000$0.00$979.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 15:34UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.71$1.4k
07-06 15:24World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?BUY0.94075$75.26
07-06 15:23World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?BUY0.9417331253$917.47
07-03 15:00NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$339.30
07-01 16:53England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceBUY0.65$130.00
06-30 12:18Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.77$770.00
06-29 17:51Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.73$730.00
06-28 18:43South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29$290.00
06-28 15:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$8.8k
06-28 14:40Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9679585571$185.68
06-27 19:01Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.96$432.00
06-27 19:01Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.95$114.95
06-27 18:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$4.4k
06-27 18:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$4.4k
06-23 15:33Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9299064$1.9k