johndoez
0x6f87226f46d8511fb169fdba58589e8184d9f277
- Realised P&L
- $129.8k
- Volume
- $2.04M
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $107.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.6kat 0.559[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$33.7kat 0.610Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.8kat 0.566Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$10.0kat 0.602Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$7.0kat 0.913Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 15:34 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $1.4k |
| 07-06 15:24 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.94075 | $75.26 |
| 07-06 15:23 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.9417331253 | $917.47 |
| 07-03 15:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $339.30 |
| 07-01 16:53 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 06-30 12:18 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.77 | $770.00 |
| 06-29 17:51 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 06-28 18:43 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 06-28 15:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.8k |
| 06-28 14:40 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679585571 | $185.68 |
| 06-27 19:01 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $432.00 |
| 06-27 19:01 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $114.95 |
| 06-27 18:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.4k |
| 06-27 18:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.4k |
| 06-23 15:33 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299064 | $1.9k |