0x6f6f84af7238595822D8b0710d915a2FE13CCe33-1779842245727
0x6f6f84af7238595822d8b0710d915a2fe13cce33
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $254.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.95at 0.740US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$190.57at 0.533Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$125.77at 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$45.95at 0.686Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions
- +$30.13at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:55 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.0673851972 | $57.38 |
| 08-01 00:49 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.4654240951 | $396.29 |
| 08-01 00:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $408.57 |
| 07-30 06:25 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.4599999976 | $37.70 |
| 06-13 01:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8389999977 | $36.00 |
| 06-12 09:48 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $700.00 |
| 06-11 02:18 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.95 | $160.00 |
| 06-10 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.0914199278 | $72.98 |
| 06-10 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.8014464104 | $300.00 |
| 06-10 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.7076098096 | $300.00 |
| 06-09 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9? | SELL | 0.1823830613 | $43.24 |
| 06-09 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |