PolyBot

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Traders

0x6f6f84af7238595822D8b0710d915a2FE13CCe33-1779842245727

0x6f6f84af7238595822d8b0710d915a2fe13cce33

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$254.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.935$105.06+$5.06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9350.962$102.83+$2.83
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.4600.565$46.31+$8.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00$5.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5560.000$0.00$846.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.3090.000$0.00$300.00
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Zhang Mingyang0.7000.000$0.00$100.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.6580.000$0.00$1.4k
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6500.000$0.00$30.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$100.00
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks · Zhejiang Lions0.6320.000$0.00$121.32
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.9210.000$0.00$165.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.8280.000$0.00$39.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 18:55Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?SELL0.0673851972$57.38
08-01 00:49Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.4654240951$396.29
08-01 00:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$408.57
07-30 06:25Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.4599999976$37.70
06-13 01:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8389999977$36.00
06-12 09:48US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5399999998$700.00
06-11 02:18Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.95$160.00
06-10 07:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?SELL0.0914199278$72.98
06-10 01:57Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?BUY0.8014464104$300.00
06-10 00:50Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?BUY0.7076098096$300.00
06-09 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.9299999997$100.00
06-09 08:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.998$100.00
06-09 08:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9?SELL0.1823830613$43.24
06-09 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.889999911$1.00
06-09 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.9699999998$100.00