Damien3030
0x6f1b9c7edd70f94e155c4f9ffa27c46c686deb22
- Realised P&L
- $254.90
- Volume
- $48.1k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$759.93at 0.212Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$255.33at 0.622Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
- +$113.99at 0.762Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?
- +$110.24at 0.801Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
- +$106.97at 0.846Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.40 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $13.99 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $95.46 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $69.92 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $605.44 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $448.80 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.69 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.05 | $31.20 |
| 09-16 20:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $30.34 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.00 |
| 09-16 19:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-16 19:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $164.50 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |