PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Damien3030

0x6f1b9c7edd70f94e155c4f9ffa27c46c686deb22

Realised P&L
$254.90
Volume
$48.1k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7900.865$478.12+$41.46
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No0.7860.935$375.87+$60.00
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.1320.290$349.45+$190.00
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.6760.875$345.23+$78.41
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7310.850$275.69+$38.56
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.8000.880$260.48+$23.68
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8010.844$254.26+$12.89
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7390.755$247.64+$5.12
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? · No0.6110.770$243.32+$50.36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7000.685$236.32$5.17
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8090.880$186.56+$14.93
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.7060.855$171.00+$29.86
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · No0.8600.875$122.50+$2.10
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.7080.730$101.47+$3.11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.7610.690$97.29$10.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:21Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$26.10
09-17 01:21Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$3.40
09-17 01:21Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$13.99
09-17 01:21Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.89$95.46
09-17 01:21Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.88$69.92
09-17 01:21Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?SELL0.86$605.44
09-17 01:21Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$448.80
09-17 01:21Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.09$3.69
09-17 01:21Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.05$31.20
09-16 20:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.74$30.34
09-16 19:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$42.00
09-16 19:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$35.00
09-16 19:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$164.50
09-16 18:11Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?BUY0.73$29.20
09-16 17:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.77$77.00