0x6f0a89105d9a67957ddcebe944a7992ec0566a10
0x6f0a89105d9a67957ddcebe944a7992ec0566a10
- Realised P&L
- $73.67
- Volume
- $970.06
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $139.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.10at 0.632Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$3.55at 0.631Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$3.28at 0.787Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
- +$3.23at 0.212Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$3.15at 0.659Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:28 | Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4899998538 | $1.24 |
| 10-04 22:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $3.95 |
| 10-04 18:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3129999392 | $1.25 |
| 10-04 18:12 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.20 |
| 10-03 20:44 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.26 |
| 10-03 20:23 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.24 |
| 10-03 15:37 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999334 | $1.73 |
| 10-03 15:12 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.29 |
| 10-03 14:40 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.02 |
| 10-03 14:15 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.38 |
| 09-30 09:07 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999228 | $2.08 |
| 09-30 08:49 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 08:03 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 09-28 04:21 | Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.7089999508 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.66 |