0x6f012c171a2599687e4cdc1a0399c88424d63f7d
0x6f012c171a2599687e4cdc1a0399c88424d63f7d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.85
- Volume
- $260.83
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $1.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.305 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.047 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.030 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:46 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7839999561 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 03:04 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 18:14 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 09:46 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:41 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 05:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 21:20 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 23:05 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999842 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:11 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:16 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |