0x6eef9a85a5a74d650d1166f20b35525be8408ddd-1792261731938
0x6eef9a85a5a74d650d1166f20b35525be8408ddd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $675.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.634 | 0.260 | $479.76 | −$690.65 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.992 | $71.70 | +$5.20 |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.815 | $71.16 | −$0.44 |
| Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.175 | $53.08 | +$5.33 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$482.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.994Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:07 | Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $71.60 |
| 11-01 20:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $71.62 |
| 11-01 18:37 | Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? | BUY | 0.1574255947 | $47.75 |
| 11-01 18:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $47.75 |
| 11-01 11:52 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2671983211 | $63.66 |
| 11-01 11:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $63.66 |
| 10-30 07:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9200989375 | $236.44 |
| 10-30 07:09 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $235.03 |
| 10-28 16:16 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 10-28 08:20 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1464032309 | $235.27 |
| 10-23 06:00 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1469422969 | $482.00 |
| 10-17 19:11 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6895770562 | $2.2k |
| 10-17 19:06 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $45.50 |