PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6ecd72a047fcdbc377110d255c473da7a0d4bd42

Realised P&L
$-9.29
Volume
$155.57
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$4.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7700.942$2.38+$0.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.5100.505$1.98$0.02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.095$0.29$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-13 19:54Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6699999163$2.00
09-09 23:27Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.7299999457$1.21
08-26 08:12Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-22 18:22Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?BUY0.74$2.00
08-18 20:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-13 09:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-11 13:10Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-11 05:09Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
08-09 07:59Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.68$2.00
08-06 23:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
08-06 15:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-05 19:45Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2079999309$2.00
08-05 11:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7$2.00
08-05 11:42Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2699999163$2.00