oya
0x6ec3a3b11fc577cb199bedabe0e46cc17ecc7583
- Realised P&L
- $-323.97
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 515
- Open portfolio
- $134.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded515
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.75at 0.160Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$11.50at 0.080Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
- +$11.33at 0.150Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$10.13at 0.165Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?
- +$8.70at 0.230Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 21:56 | Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.0161870425 | $1.80 |
| 04-04 21:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.33 |
| 04-04 21:55 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.67 |
| 04-04 14:21 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2140216166 | $3.00 |
| 04-04 14:20 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1794871556 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 14:20 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999579 | $4.00 |
| 04-04 14:20 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 14:20 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999678 | $6.00 |
| 04-04 14:18 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 04-04 14:18 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 14:17 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.1429999743 | $4.00 |
| 04-04 14:15 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3366336227 | $4.67 |
| 04-04 14:13 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.80 |
| 03-28 02:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 02:07 | Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |