0x6eB00d0110C6062688D6d752b4e8A4c4fea4098B-1772630344649
0x6eb00d0110c6062688d6d752b4e8a4c4fea4098b
- Realised P&L
- $63.90
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $146.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.76at 0.122Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$23.57at 0.560Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$13.00at 0.350Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.21at 0.263Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$6.84at 0.145Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 10:38 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0910809856 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:37 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8689999944 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 10:37 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:37 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0184466017 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0203883491 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:36 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1626224999 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 10:36 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3974159459 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 10:36 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3689999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 15:27 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1625425451 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 15:27 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:26 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 15:24 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:24 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:22 | Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 15:21 | Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |