Filipegnomo
0x6eaf3799d40a3f13ba0e612f1a35514eada73282
- Realised P&L
- $-52.60
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $684.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.910 | 0.924 | $462.25 | +$7.25 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.565 | $112.98 | −$5.02 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.680 | $109.68 | +$9.68 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.898 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$511.80 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.805 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$161.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.83at 0.762Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$122.00at 0.800Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$82.00at 0.590Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
- +$81.60at 0.592Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$68.10at 0.773Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3621663321 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:44 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9799999621 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $15.00 |