0x6e8e75bf90a046c653bd8952c0ce1b71641a25d9
0x6e8e75bf90a046c653bd8952c0ce1b71641a25d9
- Realised P&L
- $41.59
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $214.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.62at 0.178Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.95at 0.820Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$16.80at 0.749Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
- +$10.94at 0.492Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$8.29at 0.552Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:24 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 07:24 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6258051244 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 07:21 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999934 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 07:20 | Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.53 |
| 10-29 07:19 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 07:09 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.97 |
| 08-25 20:21 | Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 20:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 20:19 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3289999863 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 08:10 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.481 | $2.78 |
| 05-26 08:10 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |