PolyBot

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Traders

0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c

0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c

Realised P&L
$1.56M
Volume
$36.09M
Markets traded
1,505
Open portfolio
$138.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,505
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8020.945$55.9k+$8.4k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.6550.846$51.2k+$11.5k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0450.152$12.4k+$8.7k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0300.102$11.0k+$7.8k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.026$6.0k−$1.9k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1570.162$1.6k+$42.79
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.010$497.57−$184.05
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.115$80.50−$59.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.051$43.72+$6.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7600.945$17.02+$3.33
Pacers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$4.8k
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$4.81
Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5000.000$0.00−$71.47
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$2.7k
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00−$726.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 20:38Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.85$1.6k
07-31 18:29Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5312122038$17.5k
07-30 17:45Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4999622306$1.6k
07-29 15:57Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4594711524$1.6k
07-29 01:01Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)BUY0.51$13.5k
07-29 01:01Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)BUY0.5$1.7k
07-29 01:00Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)BUY0.5$2.0k
07-29 01:00Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)BUY0.5$7.2k
07-29 01:00Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)BUY0.499667549$16.8k
07-27 23:57Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormBUY0.792070534$6.0k
07-27 15:13Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.459631423$4.6k
07-27 15:12Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4484453725$4.2k
07-22 16:22San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5BUY0.48$2.9k
07-20 17:52New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.6423416054$21.5k
07-20 17:52New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.6434689674$19.9k