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Traders

goosemonkey

0x6e6e2969d12c576a369cab0de815e3ee866c1750

Realised P&L
$-644.81
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.960$485.76+$25.30
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · No0.7260.825$279.68+$33.46
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? · No0.9630.947$238.75−$4.04
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.8820.949$234.18+$16.44
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.017$94.44+$44.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 22:13Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?BUY0.9610803943$189.12
09-09 22:55Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7263126844$246.22
09-08 20:49Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$460.46
09-08 20:49Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0902393947$283.39
09-08 05:46Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$148.11
09-08 05:45Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$52.78
09-08 05:45Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$58.45
06-30 03:34Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.91$8.44
06-30 03:34Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?SELL0.8593381395$73.90
06-30 03:33Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?SELL0.3311278635$113.33
06-30 03:33Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.73$180.82
06-28 18:03Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?BUY0.39$55.48
06-28 17:59Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.8662906977$74.50
06-28 17:57Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.84$7.80
06-28 17:46Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.73$34.82