0x6e64EF347FA5993323672F4aDE1232e81f615686-1743509656011
0x6e64ef347fa5993323672f4ade1232e81f615686
- Realised P&L
- $-547.55
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $200.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.971 | $51.46 | −$0.21 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.972 | $51.42 | −$0.48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.982 | $49.35 | +$2.11 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? · No | 0.993 | 0.977 | $48.36 | −$0.82 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Rangers · Diamondbacks | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$811.80 |
| Yankees vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$583.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$870.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?
- +$814.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 5?
- +$212.83at 0.530Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$200.00at 0.500Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- +$173.87at 0.670Wild vs. Golden Knights
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:37 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.21 |
| 06-22 13:40 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $13.63 |
| 03-24 11:47 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.982 | $19.64 |
| 08-11 09:49 | Diamondbacks vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.41 | $811.80 |
| 08-07 09:58 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? | BUY | 0.5 | $428.00 |
| 08-04 11:09 | XRP Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $111.00 |
| 04-28 08:00 | Wild vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $353.00 |
| 04-22 07:52 | Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $200.00 |
| 04-18 13:38 | Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5299999998 | $240.00 |
| 04-16 10:03 | Heat vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.5199999984 | $142.00 |
| 04-14 07:32 | San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.539999998 | $250.00 |
| 04-10 13:32 | Red Wings vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.3599999985 | $129.00 |
| 04-09 06:37 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 04-07 09:48 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $246.00 |
| 04-04 12:51 | Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.65 | $247.00 |