alethe
0x6e5ab1cc9c923d842561f7ebfae8705310ecabf8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $993.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.610 | $392.72 | +$192.72 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.750 | $371.99 | +$171.99 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.216 | $228.63 | +$28.63 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-54.00at 0.142Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?
- +$-59.34at 0.063Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
- +$-100.00at 0.334Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
- +$-144.00at 0.227Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$-152.04at 0.112Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:53 | Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.63 |
| 02-23 22:01 | Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0638752167 | $39.34 |
| 02-23 22:01 | Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.061858956 | $10.00 |
| 02-23 22:01 | Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0606964514 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 22:43 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2265943488 | $144.00 |
| 01-05 13:24 | Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3893680537 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:23 | Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3749239317 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:23 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.406527671 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:23 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:22 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.213053101 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:22 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1704545442 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:22 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3278486978 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 13:22 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2951784957 | $100.00 |
| 01-03 13:26 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-03 13:26 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |