gorgoroth
0x6e545e2b8d566c3796dcb74b1c717c6f1c9d97ee
- Realised P&L
- $13.27
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $136.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.970 | $52.34 | −$0.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.875 | $49.00 | −$3.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.942 | $34.55 | +$0.09 |
| Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.956Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
- +$1.85at 0.943Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
- +$1.24at 0.973Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
- +$0.91at 0.976Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.970Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 13:28 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $21.45 |