MirkoCemes
0x6e403f497e216f786aa7bf3791719a1971436a65
- Realised P&L
- $85.31
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $49.76
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.16at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.70at 0.250Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.05at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?
- +$8.99at 0.690Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$8.85at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.77 |
| 07-30 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.5199999712 | $7.23 |
| 07-28 14:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.3299999662 | $4.20 |
| 07-24 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.5899999887 | $7.83 |
| 07-22 14:00 | Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 07-21 09:25 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.97 |
| 07-18 07:19 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 16:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.4899999812 | $4.94 |
| 07-10 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.3099999534 | $3.06 |
| 07-10 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.3699999684 | $4.33 |
| 07-10 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.67 |
| 07-09 20:09 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.625 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.4199999654 | $5.58 |