MirkoCemes
0x6e403f497e216f786aa7bf3791719a1971436a65
- Realised P&L
- $63.37
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $84.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.78at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.61at 0.256Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.93at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?
- +$8.74at 0.699Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$8.71at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:21 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3339999973 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 20:03 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:40 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 14:17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.70 |
| 09-04 08:13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 19:15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 12:42 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2799999565 | $3.35 |
| 08-31 12:41 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2219999522 | $2.65 |
| 08-21 19:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.2299999544 | $3.13 |
| 08-20 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.5399999953 | $6.88 |
| 08-19 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.6899999985 | $9.44 |
| 08-19 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.1799999452 | $2.56 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.362194066 | $4.64 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4399999606 | $5.36 |