0x76D90b0ec000d2801035c2d83e93abea8bB7AfE3-1774324973926
0x6ddf82137ae6e0bb0d7a2cea8e3fa0526cc96581
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.155 | $1.8k | +$399.59 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No | 0.395 | 0.435 | $1.3k | +$119.00 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.125 | $215.77 | −$150.21 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.500 | $62.50 | +$17.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.340Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.41 | $598.60 |
| 10-09 18:59 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2367369442 | $53.67 |
| 10-07 14:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $79.94 |
| 10-03 15:18 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $45.00 |
| 10-03 15:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.4k |
| 07-06 17:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $1.4k |
| 07-06 17:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999998 | $1.0k |