Reallly-prime
0x6dbdd8f2402d4d8d679632b43b264d342db764a1
- Realised P&L
- $114.59
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $98.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.570 | $96.90 | −$12.20 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.130 | $1.90 | +$1.43 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.14at 0.214Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$23.63at 0.037Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$16.70at 0.072Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$15.72at 0.339Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$12.19at 0.083Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 12:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0526458333 | $2.53 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 09-01 16:36 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 08-31 00:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-26 21:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 08-26 21:18 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.33 |
| 08-17 11:58 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-17 11:58 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-17 11:58 | Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-17 11:57 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 08-17 11:57 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-07 14:06 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $23.40 |
| 08-07 13:53 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.83 |
| 08-06 10:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 08-06 10:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $13.05 |