petronov
0x6dbc1e6ec9262950e1c2bf4942b65e7eb58a52fa
- Realised P&L
- $-101.56
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $116.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.473 | $47.35 | −$3.45 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.625 | $31.25 | −$1.75 |
| China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina · Elina Svitolina | 0.780 | 0.775 | $31.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.029 | $6.48 | −$8.52 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.56 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.80 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.38 |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek · Marta Kostyuk | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.70 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.71at 0.692Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$51.73at 0.602National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Amanda Anisimova
- +$12.93at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$8.55at 0.572National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys
- +$5.04at 0.860US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:06 | China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina | BUY | 0.78 | $31.20 |
| 09-29 11:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.508 | $50.80 |
| 09-22 16:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 08-09 17:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.69 | $136.61 |
| 08-07 18:07 | National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Amanda Anisimova | BUY | 0.59 | $76.70 |
| 08-07 18:06 | National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.41 | $69.70 |
| 08-07 16:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 08-07 15:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $20.59 |
| 08-05 19:23 | National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-04 14:23 | National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | BUY | 0.85 | $5.95 |
| 07-31 16:25 | ITF Xativa: Eric Vanshelboim vs Herman Hoeyeraal | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 07-16 08:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.16 |
| 07-12 16:12 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-08 20:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.57 | $22.80 |
| 07-07 21:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.328 | $6.56 |