PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6Db2f230CeE510E5Cc729D43f520F3f1A516bd64-1764082532025

0x6db2f230cee510e5cc729d43f520f3f1a516bd64

Realised P&L
$-30.22
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$2.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.036$2.57−$7.43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.019$0.16−$1.84
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.0170.002$0.09−$0.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$1.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$1.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-25 22:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-25 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-25 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-25 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-25 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-21 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-21 21:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-21 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
09-21 20:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-21 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-21 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-21 20:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-21 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00