Zirkkon16
0x6d9c25a71e30a0cafb1e79841aa8dd051eaaaef9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.55
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $216.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.605 | $121.88 | +$11.08 |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · No | 0.352 | 0.325 | $94.96 | −$7.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.08at 0.710Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.20at 0.300Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-6.27at 0.028Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:59 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.3517983307 | $102.79 |
| 09-28 16:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999985 | $110.80 |
| 09-26 15:00 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $4.73 |
| 09-25 20:17 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | BUY | 0.027923844 | $11.00 |
| 09-25 20:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.42 |
| 09-25 20:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-25 15:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099999884 | $5.50 |
| 09-25 12:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |