0x6d847124006EFE809907D30DB56Dc7a104463907-1724058464799
0x6d847124006efe809907d30db56dc7a104463907
- Realised P&L
- $746.50
- Volume
- $91.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.909 | 0.970 | $9.7k | +$598.83 |
| Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No | 0.789 | 0.845 | $1.0k | +$66.50 |
| Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.975 | $769.86 | +$42.97 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.842 | 0.865 | $512.20 | +$13.34 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.701 | 0.905 | $472.41 | +$106.35 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.815 | $407.50 | +$82.50 |
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.463 | 0.430 | $253.64 | −$19.36 |
| Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.425 | $85.00 | +$45.00 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.472 | 0.685 | $25.34 | +$7.87 |
| Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.910 | 0.932 | $18.65 | +$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$861.16at 0.828LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
- +$490.00at 0.837Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
- +$456.92at 0.923LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$454.03at 0.849Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$195.33at 0.606Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 04:51 | Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $82.65 |
| 08-15 04:51 | Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8399285714 | $587.95 |
| 08-15 04:41 | Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9314285714 | $65.20 |
| 08-15 04:40 | Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.931 | $79.70 |
| 07-06 19:12 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 07-06 07:52 | LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.82 | $1.6k |
| 07-06 07:51 | LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 07-01 02:37 | Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 07-01 02:36 | Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $122.99 |
| 07-01 02:35 | MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6727483729 | $85.80 |
| 07-01 02:35 | Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8595862069 | $19.44 |
| 07-01 02:35 | Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 07-01 02:34 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.32 |
| 07-01 02:34 | Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.24475 | $4.89 |
| 06-27 07:46 | Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.3476923077 | $18.08 |