Turtleiny
0x6d828157379b72256a23acde685f97a36dd07d33
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 943
- Open portfolio
- $66.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded943
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.827 | 0.105 | $38.11 | −$261.89 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.535 | $22.47 | +$11.32 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.029 | $5.80 | −$124.19 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner · KT Rolster | 0.453 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$633.99 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season · Shopify Rebellion | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.75 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · SK Gaming | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.349Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.3kat 0.552Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.541Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$3.1kat 0.666 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.268Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 10:26 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 10:09 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.47 | $235.00 |
| 08-29 22:01 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.19 | $74.75 |
| 08-29 16:46 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.09093475 | $18.19 |
| 08-29 15:55 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 08-29 15:39 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 15:39 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 15:37 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 15:30 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.1587301587 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 15:27 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 15:26 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-29 15:25 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.07 | $10.50 |
| 08-29 11:33 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.5940594047 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 11:27 | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.9329420898 | $230.00 |
| 08-29 11:22 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |