nightwere69
0x6d41c8021805cf321396b0f326ba633dce40f085
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $90.5k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.225 | $1.3k | +$325.39 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.051 | $172.07 | +$57.38 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.018 | $160.44 | +$25.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.010Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
- +$402.29at 0.234Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
- +$346.25at 0.368Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
- +$263.22at 0.846LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$257.80at 0.750US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:47 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.012 | $20.28 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.012 | $15.73 |
| 09-14 20:48 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0216120745 | $5.74 |
| 09-14 20:47 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0209519483 | $2.40 |
| 09-14 20:46 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.023 | $22.03 |
| 09-14 20:46 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0459226869 | $11.23 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0214365107 | $12.38 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0184204207 | $5.57 |
| 09-12 18:05 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.171 | $2.22 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.177 | $8.85 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.177 | $10.72 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.175 | $17.50 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.174 | $10.44 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.173 | $3.34 |
| 09-12 18:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.169 | $11.52 |