0x6d3e6c7b329a36c4fb65564157522f9e5dbe17e0
0x6d3e6c7b329a36c4fb65564157522f9e5dbe17e0
- Realised P&L
- $3.36
- Volume
- $233.42
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $9.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.765 | $1.82 | +$0.42 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.957 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.380 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.835 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.650 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.260 | 0.175 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No | 0.460 | 0.175 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.28at 0.319S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$2.85at 0.349Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.50at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.46at 0.383Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:50 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:30 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:19 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |