PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6d1f63af3a9ffa21e4312a398454a5240e0f6aa0

Realised P&L
$2.74
Volume
$254.62
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$8.49

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No0.7600.985$2.59+$0.59
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4400.500$2.27+$0.27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.982$1.99+$0.41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.8000.725$1.64$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.7300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:37Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-17 20:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7299997409$2.00
09-17 11:44S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17?BUY0.78$2.00
09-17 03:37Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-16 15:33Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.8$1.81
09-11 14:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-11 06:00Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
09-10 21:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
09-10 01:45SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-08 17:40Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-08 08:27LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
09-07 23:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-07 13:17Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
09-03 21:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.64$1.17
09-03 07:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999896$2.00