pigeonagressif
0x6d05d39e61905ea2401dbaf765af69ace2c3591f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.76
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $430.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.14at 0.580Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30?
- +$4.60at 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
- +$3.60at 0.430Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?
- +$0.82at 0.836Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by October 31?
- +$0.45at 0.421Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 03:51 | Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 10-31 01:40 | Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $19.95 |
| 10-30 10:10 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.21 |
| 10-29 19:15 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999926 | $19.61 |
| 10-28 21:27 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $19.72 |
| 10-26 21:23 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.766 | $17.92 |
| 10-26 11:19 | Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $19.84 |
| 10-26 05:46 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 10-26 00:42 | Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 10-25 23:46 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $14.91 |
| 10-25 23:31 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $12.58 |
| 10-25 23:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.06 |
| 10-25 23:30 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $14.56 |
| 10-25 23:29 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $14.22 |
| 10-25 22:55 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $14.74 |