PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

liamweber

0x6cfce245330b7935bb415bd32ebbf8ee3059a5c2

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$2.26M
Markets traded
1,175
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,175
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.9910.988$2.0k$7.00
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9870.987$986.50$0.50
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.986$63.78+$0.87
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1600.205$12.30+$2.70
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3900.113$7.88$19.39
NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? · Yes0.1320.040$5.00$11.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2500.207$2.07$0.43
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? · Yes0.1850.006$0.32$9.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.999$2.0k
07-30 11:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?BUY0.999$2.0k
07-29 08:10Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.21$8.40
07-28 15:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.991$232.67
07-28 12:04Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?SELL0.999$2.3k
07-26 07:48Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.998$2.3k
07-25 21:18Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?SELL0.975$15.20
07-25 10:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?BUY0.995$1.3k
07-24 23:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.988$98.80
07-24 17:47Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.997$19.92
07-24 13:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?SELL0.992$5.95
07-21 17:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.99$426.64
07-17 06:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.99$31.66
07-16 10:53World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. PedriSELL0.54$5.40
07-15 23:12Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.137$1.37