PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

liamweber

0x6cfce245330b7935bb415bd32ebbf8ee3059a5c2

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$2.72M
Markets traded
1,224
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,224
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9930.997$4.0k+$14.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 in September? · No0.9820.997$2.0k+$30.43
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.9860.985$1.8k−$2.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · No0.9980.999$1.1k+$0.54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8860.895$965.56+$9.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No0.9970.999$695.30+$1.05
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1600.200$12.00+$2.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · No0.9870.995$9.96+$0.07
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1600.165$9.90+$0.30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3900.034$2.35−$24.92
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? · No0.9900.992$2.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 13:08Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?SELL0.984$188.60
09-24 10:44Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.997$97.39
09-24 10:44Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.996$2.3k
09-22 11:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?BUY0.997$1.0k
09-21 20:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.36$171.81
09-21 19:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.4$9.10
09-20 17:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.11$55.00
09-20 16:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5$104.76
09-20 16:39Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.962$73.83
09-20 15:40Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.987$57.11
09-17 14:16Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.993$1.1k
09-15 07:25Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.98$245.00
09-14 20:51NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season?SELL0.053$8.97
09-11 17:03Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.9341870101$1.3k
09-10 08:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?BUY0.988$414.96