methodnumber8
0x6cc3ed5d02b966dd49784a6488dceead68be36b2
- Realised P&L
- $-293.74
- Volume
- $112.3k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $149.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.017 | $67.77 | −$142.14 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.043 | $57.38 | −$23.63 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11? · No | 0.490 | 0.495 | $14.66 | +$0.15 |
| Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12? · No | 0.470 | 0.495 | $9.34 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.00at 0.290Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$283.62at 0.305Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$258.56at 0.260Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
- +$238.41at 0.686Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau
- +$229.27at 0.410Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:14 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.38 | $87.38 |
| 10-02 21:47 | Will Barbados win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.46 | $96.58 |
| 10-02 17:21 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.14 | $30.80 |
| 10-02 16:23 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.31 | $55.80 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-02 16:01 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 09-28 21:55 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.23 | $20.70 |
| 09-28 21:49 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-28 21:41 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 09-28 21:11 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.72 | $9.36 |
| 09-28 21:10 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.77 | $115.50 |
| 09-28 21:09 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 09-28 20:39 | Columbus: Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Krueger | SELL | 0.999 | $699.30 |
| 09-28 19:19 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.71 | $22.01 |
| 09-28 13:25 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Suzan Lamens | SELL | 0.999 | $579.42 |