chickendinner69
0x6cb22d418aa127cacf1b8ceb67ed70bd614f7d7f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $332.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.341Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$993.00at 0.416Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$450.20at 0.179Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$412.53at 0.467Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$353.93at 0.536Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:23 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 10-31 17:22 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.90 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.31 |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.45 |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 10-25 17:03 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 10-25 16:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $23.45 |
| 10-25 16:27 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.48 |
| 10-25 16:27 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $88.04 |
| 10-25 00:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $38.18 |