PolyBot

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Traders

chickendinner69

0x6cb22d418aa127cacf1b8ceb67ed70bd614f7d7f

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$332.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.6170.825$1.4k+$356.13
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.7530.997$1.3k+$318.34
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4870.285$782.53−$554.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8470.825$533.88−$14.29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1650.145$189.95−$26.55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1250.115$178.05−$15.26
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.1100.070$132.04−$76.93
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1250.118$118.50−$6.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.305$91.50−$19.50
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6200.515$82.40−$16.80
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0750.107$48.29+$14.44
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1110.066$46.32−$31.58
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.040$41.08−$41.91
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0550.029$26.41−$23.68
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$27.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:23Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.15$45.00
10-31 17:22Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.15$1.50
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.80
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.80
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.01$0.90
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.80
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.80
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.31
10-25 23:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.03$0.45
10-25 23:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?SELL0.02$0.80
10-25 17:03Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.37$111.00
10-25 16:57Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.08$23.45
10-25 16:27Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.12$7.48
10-25 16:27Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.12$88.04
10-25 00:42Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.81$38.18