DD999
0x6c88d1399d71c4349fd89851a7f67859d5408570
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $586.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.70at 0.550Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$118.14at 0.850Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$77.94at 0.440Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$64.03at 0.483BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Marin Cilic
- +$51.25at 0.310Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:29 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.3478366112 | $27.59 |
| 09-12 18:48 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.3725192639 | $28.14 |
| 09-04 21:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $86.18 |
| 09-03 12:31 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.65 |
| 08-26 23:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 04:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-17 22:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $38.40 |
| 08-17 13:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.65 | $84.50 |
| 08-17 13:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.65 | $221.00 |
| 08-08 22:30 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.432 | $29.47 |
| 08-06 17:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-05 08:35 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $22.68 |
| 07-29 19:01 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $22.68 |
| 07-28 12:19 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0487384709 | $5.59 |
| 07-27 05:31 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.058104918 | $21.98 |