PolyBot

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Traders

DD999

0x6c88d1399d71c4349fd89851a7f67859d5408570

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$586.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5440.625$277.38+$36.23
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8900.986$207.06+$20.16
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.3650.118$52.95−$110.92
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2200.034$29.07−$159.02
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0570.045$7.97−$1.97
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes0.3070.155$3.69−$3.63
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · No0.7000.966$2.12+$0.58
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.5970.845$1.70+$0.50
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1480.035$1.27−$4.20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.444$1.25+$0.18
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.8310.939$0.94+$0.11
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · Yes0.3800.255$0.84−$0.41
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · Yes0.0900.058$0.28−$0.15
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2070.050$0.19−$0.59
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2100.028$0.10−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 15:29Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.3478366112$27.59
09-12 18:48Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.3725192639$28.14
09-04 21:11Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$86.18
09-03 12:31NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.13$13.65
08-26 23:45Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5$30.00
08-18 04:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$6.40
08-17 22:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$38.40
08-17 13:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.65$84.50
08-17 13:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.65$221.00
08-08 22:30Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.432$29.47
08-06 17:01Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.33$6.60
08-05 08:35Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.06$22.68
07-29 19:01Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.06$22.68
07-28 12:19Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0487384709$5.59
07-27 05:31Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.058104918$21.98