OpesMagic
0x6c6d739e4e5ae5348a7905d7b62762950edd7c46
- Realised P&L
- $7.42
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $5.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.632UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$4.58at 0.289Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$4.35at 0.576Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$3.38at 0.750UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$2.54at 0.710Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:47 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:07 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.60 |
| 10-12 03:30 | Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:30 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.38 |
| 10-12 03:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 05:44 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:41 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:36 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.76 |
| 10-02 02:51 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.10 |
| 09-30 09:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:17 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |