PolyBot

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Traders

0x6C5773e334ec895B61C3982E5078dBd7f7950D5B-1768128808247

0x6c5773e334ec895b61c3982e5078dbd7f7950d5b

Realised P&L
$-76.30
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$22.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0860.043$10.08$9.92
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0650.042$4.20$2.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0360.019$2.71$2.29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0800.039$1.85$1.95
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0850.028$1.37$2.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.013$1.09$1.01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4100.065$1.01$5.35
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$9.70
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.0590.000$0.00$1.06
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$19.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 11:36Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.025$2.09
07-04 11:31Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.059$1.06
05-14 16:10Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.017$1.02
05-13 14:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.065$6.50
05-13 14:02Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?SELL0.343925$8.25
05-13 13:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.07$3.50
05-13 13:55Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.085$4.25
05-03 06:29Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.928$1.48
02-21 11:03Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?BUY0.1323104628$5.63
02-20 16:07Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
01-30 12:51Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4099999652$6.36
01-30 11:34US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?SELL0.054$3.24
01-30 08:02US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?BUY0.0496371667$2.98
01-29 16:37Iran strike on US military by February 28?SELL0.4$10.77
01-24 20:45Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.8799999749$1.40