PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6bebb820e4a7641bc4bebe94f3b3efb218ba2773

0x6bebb820e4a7641bc4bebe94f3b3efb218ba2773

Realised P&L
$153.04
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$63.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · Yes0.2340.265$34.00+$4.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1700.165$19.41−$0.59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1540.147$9.58−$0.42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.0290.003$0.87−$9.13
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 11? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:02Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 11?BUY0.0312044123$10.00
10-11 17:58Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.0286271358$10.00
10-06 20:51Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.3224892247$20.00
10-05 11:05Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.1508893038$10.00
10-05 11:02Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1539999998$10.00
10-04 22:00Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0409999998$5.00
10-04 21:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999997$20.00
10-04 21:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.835$422.64
10-04 21:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8362397661$423.27
10-04 21:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8542189945$93.34
10-01 19:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6209999992$131.64
10-01 19:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6219999995$429.85