PolyBot

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Traders

ihoramster

0x6be4235f3778287c008e4fcfa9443dfbf2b36ff8

Realised P&L
$946.21
Volume
$56.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$268.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.055$195.81$54.19
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.125$71.15$54.07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1000.006$1.29$18.71
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$15.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$49.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$35.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$8.00
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$15.00
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23? · Yes0.6440.000$0.00$100.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3320.000$0.00$40.92
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 21:44Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.332499995$40.92
07-14 21:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1004566165$20.00
07-14 21:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$20.00
07-14 21:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$15.00
06-19 14:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1179999873$8.00
06-19 14:50Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$15.00
06-19 14:49Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$5.00
06-19 14:47Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0059999994$10.00
06-19 14:47Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
06-19 14:46Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0239999988$20.00
06-19 14:46Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999975$10.00
06-19 14:46Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999966$20.00
05-24 12:06Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
05-19 21:08Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2199999987$125.22
05-19 21:06Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.0702217603$250.00