0x6bd15accb35f108662e7d884108191b83c0d55c9
0x6bd15accb35f108662e7d884108191b83c0d55c9
- Realised P&L
- $7.70
- Volume
- $327.63
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $3.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · No | 0.490 | 0.490 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.734 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? · Up | 0.760 | 0.620 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.219 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$3.51at 0.227S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 08:27 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:26 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 15:51 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 07:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:39 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.726999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7669999793 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:29 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:26 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:25 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |