0x6BBC8A0075d9b1026117b6e69018cD8A8F4f9e4D-1771609646095
0x6bbc8a0075d9b1026117b6e69018cd8a8f4f9e4d
- Realised P&L
- $-115.72
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $563.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.72at 0.135Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$1.54at 0.567Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.72at 0.808Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?
- +$0.70at 0.620Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
- +$0.45at 0.758Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:58 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.29 |
| 10-04 20:32 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.815 | $5.71 |
| 10-04 20:30 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.06 |
| 10-03 19:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.827 | $9.92 |
| 10-03 18:30 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.7632894737 | $11.60 |
| 10-03 14:57 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8279999849 | $9.00 |
| 10-03 14:54 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-03 08:29 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-03 08:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $17.50 |
| 10-02 15:05 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 15:04 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.827 | $13.68 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.66 |
| 09-30 14:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999879 | $7.90 |
| 09-30 14:11 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.751 | $7.77 |