PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dropper

0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292

Realised P&L
$1.56M
Volume
$53.51M
Markets traded
1,740
Open portfolio
$310.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,740
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6740.635$109.7k−$6.7k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7790.825$82.0k+$4.6k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9130.980$36.4k+$2.5k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9200.945$29.7k+$786.59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.705$15.7k+$1.4k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6400.705$15.7k+$1.4k
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.967$9.7k+$670.00
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.960$9.6k+$900.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8300.969$2.3k+$328.46
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2300.055$44.72−$142.31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.034$7.55−$54.61
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.024$4.42−$14.39
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$217.85
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$217.85
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$217.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:42Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9809501825$7.2k
10-27 20:45Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.18$1.4k
10-27 20:17Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.21$666.07
10-27 20:11Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1970376022$1.8k
10-27 19:20Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.73$4.5k
10-26 17:27Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6989765089$9.4k
10-26 16:08Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5697607505$2.7k
10-26 14:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6313840279$1.5k
10-25 19:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.77$8.6k
10-23 21:13NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0271109366$634.79
10-22 22:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.24$2.8k
10-20 22:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.19$4.9k
10-19 18:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.9088771807$5.1k
10-19 18:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.8932744526$4.8k
10-19 16:18US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.68$6.3k