Dropper
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
- Realised P&L
- $1.56M
- Volume
- $53.51M
- Markets traded
- 1,740
- Open portfolio
- $310.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,740
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.7kat 0.335US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$125.6kat 0.398Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$89.1kat 0.043Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$61.7kat 0.586Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$60.7kat 0.834MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9809501825 | $7.2k |
| 10-27 20:45 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.4k |
| 10-27 20:17 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.21 | $666.07 |
| 10-27 20:11 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1970376022 | $1.8k |
| 10-27 19:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.5k |
| 10-26 17:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6989765089 | $9.4k |
| 10-26 16:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5697607505 | $2.7k |
| 10-26 14:04 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6313840279 | $1.5k |
| 10-25 19:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.6k |
| 10-23 21:13 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0271109366 | $634.79 |
| 10-22 22:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.8k |
| 10-20 22:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.9k |
| 10-19 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.9088771807 | $5.1k |
| 10-19 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.8932744526 | $4.8k |
| 10-19 16:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.3k |