Dropper
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
- Realised P&L
- $1.45M
- Volume
- $51.42M
- Markets traded
- 1,687
- Open portfolio
- $216.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,687
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19Mat 0.026Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$209.1kat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$148.7kat 0.335US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$92.6kat 0.235Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
- +$89.5kat 0.042Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $40.5k |
| 08-02 02:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $470.01 |
| 08-01 17:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.363467537 | $5.3k |
| 08-01 13:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3055332182 | $1.2k |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $0.81 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.98997642 | $25.1k |
| 07-31 19:26 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.5274792632 | $3.7k |
| 07-31 19:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.42611975 | $4.3k |
| 07-31 19:18 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3978186947 | $2.2k |
| 07-31 17:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6579294004 | $2.6k |
| 07-31 16:08 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6085637119 | $1.9k |
| 07-30 21:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.8k |
| 07-30 21:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999761853 | $14.8k |
| 07-30 14:35 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8216071178 | $3.5k |
| 07-28 13:03 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.42 | $4.32 |