PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6b9Ae9f30D4AC0a7dC07C7649C485D7ADBa2B784-1722402746283

0x6b9ae9f30d4ac0a7dc07c7649c485d7adba2b784

Realised P&L
$-66.58
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$115.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8910.961$78.16+$5.64
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8600.922$32.18+$2.18
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.200$4.77$3.81
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China0.0940.000$0.00$61.62
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.2480.000$0.00$18.62
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$3.00
Spread: Germany (-2.5) · Curaçao0.2770.000$0.00$3.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 17:54Spread: Germany (-2.5)BUY0.2099999311$1.86
06-14 17:46Spread: Germany (-2.5)BUY0.4099999031$1.82
06-14 17:46Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.0369999877$3.00
05-05 12:49Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999782$8.58
04-29 11:17Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.977$8.86
04-02 18:27Ethereum flipped in 2026?BUY0.539999903$2.45
04-02 18:25Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?SELL0.981$2.23
03-01 17:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8929999905$50.01
02-28 10:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8879999957$20.00
02-28 10:21China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8599999903$30.00
01-27 15:58Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8799998317$2.51
01-27 15:37Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
01-24 19:09Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9379999522$8.51
01-24 19:01U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?SELL0.34$8.51
01-24 16:19U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.25$19.82