PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6b940F09054BdCD9dD96e6646C36dC6BcDE558a3-1777560946674

0x6b940f09054bdcd9dd96e6646c36dc6bcde558a3

Realised P&L
$-65.16
Volume
$728.07
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$19.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.240$8.00−$2.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.355$7.10−$2.90
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0800.042$2.59−$2.41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2080.201$1.93−$0.07
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7880.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$15.00
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · No0.4620.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 08:44GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-20 12:36Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2079999917$2.00
07-14 08:25Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?BUY0.7699999954$15.00
07-14 08:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
07-14 08:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7879999966$15.00
07-14 08:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1739999867$10.00
07-14 08:12Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7849999992$15.00
06-15 09:41Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
05-20 07:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSELL0.84$22.34
05-20 07:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.7199999965$25.00
05-09 07:13Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?BUY0.4624277457$20.00
05-08 12:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.8479999824$5.00
05-08 12:04Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
05-07 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
05-07 06:44Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?BUY0.8299999967$10.00