PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgb23f1g0b

0x6b67913c0fdca6ad288c7b09834ed67304eb3998

Realised P&L
$-366.65
Volume
$54.4k
Markets traded
496
Open portfolio
$345.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded496
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7101.000$100.00+$29.00
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · No0.8791.000$50.00+$6.05
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.6500.670$33.50+$1.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4300.265$26.50$16.50
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? · No0.6600.395$19.75$13.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.380$19.00$5.50
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.815$16.30$1.30
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · No0.6800.635$12.70$0.90
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.355$7.10$3.90
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.130$6.50$5.50
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.4600.325$6.50$2.70
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.185$3.70$10.50
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? · Yes0.3100.180$3.60$2.60
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? · Yes0.5100.055$2.75$22.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 22:07Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-23 14:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-20 07:10Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.31357$6.27
08-20 07:10Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 20:06Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.34$6.80
08-19 03:16Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
08-19 03:16Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
08-18 03:56Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.34$2.00
08-18 03:55Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
08-18 03:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.5175$10.35
08-18 03:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?SELL0.74$14.80
08-17 19:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.29$5.80
08-17 06:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?SELL0.42$8.40
08-17 06:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.26$5.20