PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sleepyfan

0x6b343e1d2b5288b29d7bbab5d2832b50657b4c88

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$44.7k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:11Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$80.00
08-25 19:19Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?SELL0.003$0.75
08-19 01:19Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.72$186.00
08-13 17:02Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.3429166667$102.88
08-13 17:01Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.338$16.90
08-13 16:55Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.0499433962$26.47
08-11 01:24Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?BUY0.031990908$5.28
08-05 01:03Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.002$10.00
07-17 19:47Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.002$0.49
07-17 19:45Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.002$1.00
07-15 11:29Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.038$0.84
07-10 23:55Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.992$198.39
06-26 22:36Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?BUY0.2499466667$44.99
06-26 22:35Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?BUY0.24$10.80
05-16 23:52Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.16$32.00