Sleepyfan
0x6b343e1d2b5288b29d7bbab5d2832b50657b4c88
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $44.7k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.52at 0.052Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$352.36at 0.002Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$349.10at 0.126Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$159.50at 0.033Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
- +$105.94at 0.462Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:11 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 08-25 19:19 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 08-19 01:19 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.72 | $186.00 |
| 08-13 17:02 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.3429166667 | $102.88 |
| 08-13 17:01 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.338 | $16.90 |
| 08-13 16:55 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0499433962 | $26.47 |
| 08-11 01:24 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.031990908 | $5.28 |
| 08-05 01:03 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:47 | Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.49 |
| 07-17 19:45 | Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 11:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.84 |
| 07-10 23:55 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $198.39 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | BUY | 0.2499466667 | $44.99 |
| 06-26 22:35 | Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.80 |
| 05-16 23:52 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |