0x6b148682c374c4449cfb572e9d41a2c65f053e42
- Realised P&L
- $-300.79
- Volume
- $123.8k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $98.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$988.44at 0.323US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$205.55at 0.507Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$185.48at 0.641Lakers vs. Thunder
- +$183.95at 0.760US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$152.94at 0.579Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 02:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:22 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.4814743344 | $129.00 |
| 09-08 18:22 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0521926785 | $132.69 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.019 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $15.00 |
| 07-27 09:44 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999996 | $150.00 |
| 07-19 00:28 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0356006521 | $23.00 |
| 07-19 00:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0291678766 | $24.51 |
| 07-19 00:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $287.12 |
| 07-18 11:24 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 11:23 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $17.24 |
| 07-17 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999986 | $90.00 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.81 |