chillballer
0x6af72a7d6ca36735fbbbd54feb991b2055e25a6f
- Realised P&L
- $12.8k
- Volume
- $982.2k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $19.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.354Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.5kat 0.480Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.9kat 0.650Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$3.2kat 0.680Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$2.3kat 0.365Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 17:29 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | BUY | 0.64445375 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 17:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.9963066758 | $3.3k |
| 07-30 14:41 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.6930572001 | $729.28 |
| 07-27 15:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.74225 | $1.5k |
| 07-25 13:55 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.135 | $2.7k |
| 07-25 07:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.9k |
| 07-25 05:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.80 |
| 07-25 05:28 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 15:57 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.135 | $405.00 |
| 07-24 15:55 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.036 | $49.16 |
| 07-24 15:55 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 07-23 15:46 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5695505715 | $6.1k |
| 07-23 15:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.56 | $1.7k |
| 07-22 06:17 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5130007788 | $4.0k |