PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

chillballer

0x6af72a7d6ca36735fbbbd54feb991b2055e25a6f

Realised P&L
$12.8k
Volume
$982.2k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$19.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2020.205$5.0k+$78.59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2920.320$3.0k+$260.36
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1350.128$2.9k$172.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8300.875$2.6k+$135.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8140.887$1.9k+$159.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5300.430$1.7k$400.00
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? · No0.6440.715$1.4k+$141.09
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.011$735.00$71.47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$9.80+$0.18
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · No0.7120.925$5.16+$1.19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4820.605$4.94+$1.00
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.6610.000$0.00$2.9k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$8.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$1.8k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00$521.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.53$2.1k
07-31 17:29Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?BUY0.64445375$1.3k
07-31 17:18Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.9963066758$3.3k
07-30 14:41Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.6930572001$729.28
07-27 15:20Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.74225$1.5k
07-25 13:55Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.135$2.7k
07-25 07:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$2.9k
07-25 05:29Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.001$7.80
07-25 05:28Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.003$3.00
07-24 15:57Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.135$405.00
07-24 15:55Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.036$49.16
07-24 15:55Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.999$1.3k
07-23 15:46Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5695505715$6.1k
07-23 15:462026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.56$1.7k
07-22 06:17Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.5130007788$4.0k