PolyBot

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Traders

chillballer

0x6af72a7d6ca36735fbbbd54feb991b2055e25a6f

Realised P&L
$12.4k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$18.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7580.765$4.8k+$42.61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5300.825$3.3k+$1.2k
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1350.112$2.6k$540.48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8420.935$2.4k+$239.74
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8140.954$2.1k+$303.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.7850.935$1.9k+$299.93
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2920.145$1.4k$1.4k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.004$315.00$491.43
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.4950.460$92.92$7.08
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.6610.000$0.00$2.9k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$8.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$1.8k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00$521.93
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8? · No0.5890.000$0.00$412.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$3.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:31Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7599999999$3.0k
09-17 18:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.75$5.4k
09-16 18:23Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4950446035$100.00
09-15 14:25Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.77$6.0k
09-15 14:24Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.87$2.4k
09-08 01:52Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6899999999$1.2k
09-05 16:36Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.79$1.5k
08-30 17:48Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.87$3.0k
08-30 17:43Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?SELL0.984$5.49
08-30 17:39Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?SELL0.998$2.0k
08-25 17:22Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$9.81
08-25 17:22Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5$4.08
08-25 17:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$3.9k
08-18 14:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.992$3.0k
08-15 14:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.7836193658$1.2k