chillballer
0x6af72a7d6ca36735fbbbd54feb991b2055e25a6f
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $18.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.361Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.4kat 0.487Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.8kat 0.657Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$3.1kat 0.686Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$2.3kat 0.372Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:31 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $3.0k |
| 09-17 18:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.4k |
| 09-16 18:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4950446035 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.0k |
| 09-15 14:24 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.4k |
| 09-08 01:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $1.2k |
| 09-05 16:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.5k |
| 08-30 17:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $3.0k |
| 08-30 17:43 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.984 | $5.49 |
| 08-30 17:39 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 08-25 17:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $9.81 |
| 08-25 17:22 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.08 |
| 08-25 17:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.9k |
| 08-18 14:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.0k |
| 08-15 14:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.7836193658 | $1.2k |