PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asegad

0x6af0475bd480ed539d5dd3eead3eb3719876d8cc

Realised P&L
$-5.83
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$12.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9990.999$10.79−$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · No0.7500.745$1.89−$0.01
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox · Chicago Cubs0.5400.000$0.00−$1.62
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.64
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 4? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$10.80
10-08 13:00Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.7499998026$1.90
09-25 09:56Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$12.70
09-25 09:54Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.54$1.62
08-06 09:32Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.999$14.30
07-30 06:57Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.999$14.29
06-09 12:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?BUY0.999$99.00
06-05 11:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?BUY0.9989999909$99.00
05-25 11:31Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$99.00
05-21 09:31Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?BUY0.9989999908$98.00
05-15 09:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.999$98.00
05-09 13:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?BUY0.999$98.00
05-06 07:23Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$98.00
04-19 09:30Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 19?BUY0.999$97.99
04-16 09:48Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?BUY0.9989999908$97.99