0x6ae3fb907d005359e51e88891ecca2a59d0ebf9d
0x6ae3fb907d005359e51e88891ecca2a59d0ebf9d
- Realised P&L
- $49.94
- Volume
- $346.27
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $13.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.963 | $3.35 | +$1.26 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.984 | $3.21 | +$1.12 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $1.99 | −$0.10 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.430 | $1.38 | −$0.71 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.170 | $1.15 | −$0.94 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.340 | 0.180 | $1.11 | −$0.98 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.160 | $1.08 | −$1.01 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.037 | $0.21 | −$1.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.21at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$5.95at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.19at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.00at 0.349Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?
- +$3.66at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999763 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 22:16 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999222 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 15:19 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999902 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.369999977 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 04:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.5999999426 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 03:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.5199999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-17 04:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999122 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 19:51 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 11:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 16? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 03:33 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999218 | $2.09 |
| 09-14 06:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999024 | $2.09 |
| 09-13 22:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-11 09:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7899999471 | $2.09 |