vesen
0x6ad811b3f219c576760c084becd4d56c5ab3dbeb
- Realised P&L
- $-48.39
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $194.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.84at 0.400Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.55at 0.410US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
- +$19.94at 0.370Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$19.68at 0.400Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
- +$19.61at 0.350Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 19:36 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $55.80 |
| 08-11 19:36 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.34 |
| 08-11 19:35 | Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.77 |
| 08-11 19:34 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 08-11 19:34 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.896 | $44.80 |
| 08-11 19:34 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 08-01 15:11 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.333 | $14.32 |
| 07-24 11:30 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | SELL | 0.7422998 | $37.11 |
| 07-18 12:47 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m? | SELL | 0.977 | $18.84 |
| 07-18 05:55 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | SELL | 0.086 | $4.56 |
| 07-07 07:15 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | SELL | 0.0118823529 | $0.40 |
| 07-07 07:12 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 11:52 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 06-29 18:22 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $22.09 |
| 06-21 18:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979998432 | $1.00 |