LeRoiSoleil
0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $2.86M
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $29.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.609Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$8.9kat 0.307MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.733SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$7.0kat 0.394US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$6.1kat 0.795Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 10:45 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5187145334 | $870.58 |
| 10-10 10:45 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0119977004 | $916.12 |
| 10-05 08:16 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6084456108 | $2.9k |
| 10-04 21:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0673816236 | $1.3k |
| 10-04 20:50 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.191083302 | $1.8k |
| 10-04 20:50 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.18 | $58.86 |
| 09-27 20:27 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:26 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.13 |
| 09-27 20:22 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 20:22 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.84 |
| 09-27 20:06 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.98 |
| 09-27 20:06 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:06 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:02 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:54 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.93 |