PolyBot

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Traders

LeRoiSoleil

0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3

Realised P&L
$13.6k
Volume
$2.74M
Markets traded
529
Open portfolio
$54.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded529
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2230.245$25.0k+$2.2k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3770.406$13.6k+$954.07
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6800.765$10.9k+$1.2k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7890.765$3.8k$118.08
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0880.022$1.7k$5.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7610.935$2.46+$0.46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No0.8100.835$1.03+$0.03
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.705$1.02+$0.02
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7700.765$0.99$0.01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7000.695$0.99$0.01
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.7100.635$0.90$0.11
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.5900.000$0.00$300.00
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00$5.0k
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$5.5k
Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? · Yes0.2720.000$0.00$390.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:55Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.77$1.00
09-17 09:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7$1.00
09-17 08:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7888846991$3.9k
09-17 08:04Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3761199176$12.4k
09-17 08:04Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4258278005$247.29
09-17 08:01Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$3.0k
09-17 07:11Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2508369863$7.8k
09-15 16:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$6.1k
09-15 16:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7425036965$6.2k
09-14 09:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$5.2k
09-14 09:20Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.8509890231$5.2k
09-14 09:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$7.0k
09-14 09:12Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.8797420673$7.1k
09-13 20:01Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7399999989$67.61
09-13 20:00Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7581418273$2.3k