LeRoiSoleil
0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $2.74M
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $54.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.609Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$8.9kat 0.307MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.733SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$7.0kat 0.394US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$6.1kat 0.795Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:55 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7888846991 | $3.9k |
| 09-17 08:04 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3761199176 | $12.4k |
| 09-17 08:04 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4258278005 | $247.29 |
| 09-17 08:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.0k |
| 09-17 07:11 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2508369863 | $7.8k |
| 09-15 16:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.1k |
| 09-15 16:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7425036965 | $6.2k |
| 09-14 09:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.2k |
| 09-14 09:20 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8509890231 | $5.2k |
| 09-14 09:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.0k |
| 09-14 09:12 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.8797420673 | $7.1k |
| 09-13 20:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7399999989 | $67.61 |
| 09-13 20:00 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7581418273 | $2.3k |