0x6A96e956a7640CDF68890848d2504f773B2f69de-1774056065393
0x6a96e956a7640cdf68890848d2504f773b2f69de
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $772.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.290US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$761.38at 0.329Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
- +$390.91at 0.460US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$352.02at 0.299US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$307.21at 0.371Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:10 | Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.9978093124 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 17:08 | Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.5333508917 | $150.00 |
| 09-20 17:07 | Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-31 15:32 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $43.10 |
| 07-22 18:44 | Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.0699999964 | $18.00 |
| 07-22 18:41 | Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.1 | $26.00 |
| 07-22 16:34 | Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.2899999976 | $60.00 |
| 07-22 16:33 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | SELL | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 07-20 10:00 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-13 23:29 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4509999953 | $49.40 |
| 07-13 23:21 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 07-13 18:37 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2969512925 | $24.00 |
| 07-13 18:36 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $50.42 |
| 07-13 13:30 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-12 14:06 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3810809521 | $87.00 |