PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6A96e956a7640CDF68890848d2504f773B2f69de-1774056065393

0x6a96e956a7640cdf68890848d2504f773b2f69de

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$48.6k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$772.33

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9980.623$312.18−$187.82
Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? · No0.5330.560$157.49+$7.49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4030.145$112.20−$199.80
Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · No0.2700.265$98.15−$1.85
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2600.235$38.95−$4.14
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3890.030$19.58−$230.42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.075$17.86−$82.14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3800.065$15.91−$77.09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$33.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$36.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$100.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$16.00
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$104.00
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$87.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00−$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 17:10Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.9978093124$500.00
09-20 17:08Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.5333508917$150.00
09-20 17:07Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
08-31 15:32Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.26$43.10
07-22 18:44Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.0699999964$18.00
07-22 18:41Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.1$26.00
07-22 16:34Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.2899999976$60.00
07-22 16:33Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?SELL0.972$97.20
07-20 10:00Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?BUY0.36$36.00
07-13 23:29Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4509999953$49.40
07-13 23:21Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.31$31.00
07-13 18:37Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2969512925$24.00
07-13 18:36US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.25$50.42
07-13 13:30President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.08$16.00
07-12 14:06Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3810809521$87.00